UK cereals supply and demand estimates

Updated 25 November 2021
The balance between supply and demand sets the overall tone of the domestic market. AHDB publishes forecasts of cereal supply and demand for the UK split into the areas of availability, consumption, exports and stocks.

Latest UK cereal supply and demand: November 2021 (First official balance sheet)

Key points

  • Despite a rise in wheat production, the tightest opening stocks this century limits availability. Imports are forecast to slow, with strong freight costs and logistical issues proving challenging.
  • Barley production is back, following an area decline. Demand recovery is projected in the H&I sector, although declines in animal feed demand are estimated to offset this.
  • Maize imports are back substantially, with the grain currently not price competitive.
  • Higher than anticipated oat production has led to oat end-season stocks becoming bolstered.
Download the first official 2021/22 estimate

Historic UK supply and demand

Get involved

As part of our work on UK cereals supply and demand we run two groups to enhance our offering to the industry – the AHDB Cross Sector Working Group and the AHDB Audit Function Group.

The aim of the two groups is to gain more industry input into the balance sheet forecasts before they are finalised, as well as ensuring all data is up-to-date and accurate.

To find out more or if you are interested in joining either group, please do get in contact with the AHDB Balance Sheet Team at

Download terms of reference (TOR) for both groups.

AHDB audit function group - TOR

AHDB cross sector working group - TOR

AHDB Cross Sector Working Group Presentation January 2022

Additional information

Next update: 27 January 2022* 

*subject to revision

Contact us

For further infomation please contact the AHDB Balance Sheet Team at

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